January 25-26, 2012, Tashkent, Uzbekistan
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Conference Program

International conference on

Complexity in earthquake dynamics: From nonlinearity to earthquake prediction and seismic stability

January 25 – 26, 2012

Scientific program

Wednesday, January 25, 2012

9:00 Coffee and Registration

10:00 Welcome Ceremony
Davran Otajanov, Davron Matrasulov, Yukihiko Ejiri, Kungrad Sharipov, Franco Lombardi

Morning Session Chair: Niyazi Turkelli

10:30 – Bakhtier Nurtaev
Earthquake hazard assessment in Uzbekistan: unanticipated impacts

11:00 – Sergey Tyagunov
Seismic Risk Assessment in the Countries of Central Asia

11:30 – Larisa Agayeva
Major factors, defining seismic hazard of Turkmenistan

12:00 – Chikahiro Minowa
Seismic Disaster and Shaking Table facility

12:30 – Tursun Rashidov
Problems and practical questions of decrease seismic risk in the conditions of Uzbekistan

13:00 – 14:00 Lunch

Afternoon Session Chair: Chikahiro Minowa

14:30 – Alessandro De Stefano
Seismic base isolation of historical buildings

15:00 – Kabul Abdurashidov
Engineering problems of architectural monuments

15:30 Coffee break

16:00 – Sebastiano Foti
Developments in surface wave testing for seismic site characterization

16:30 – Pulat Yasunov
Using of the macroseismic scale classifications for seismic vulnerability assessment

17:00 – Makhira Usmanova
Seismic dangerous, seismic risk connection with exploitation and building of Gigantic hydroelectrically stations in Central Asia (on examples Toktogul HES and Rogun HES)

17:30 – Bakhodir Rakhmonov
Fundamentals of architecture earthquake monuments in Uzbekistan

Thursday, January 26, 2012

Morning Session Chair: Sebastiano Foti

9:00 – Bunichiro Shibazaki
Some models of cycles of large earthquakes based on laboratory derived friction law

9:30 – Shigeru Shinomoto
A non-universal aspect in the temporal occurrence of earthquakes

10:00 – Matthias Holschneider
Bayesian estimation of the maximum earthquake magnitude in a time horizon

10:30 Coffee break

11:00 – Takahiro Omi
Optimal observation time window for forecasting the next earthquake

11:30 – Yusufjon Tillayev
Ionospheric Earthqukae precursors observed using Tashkent and Kitab GPS Station’s data

12:00 – Sebastiano Foti
Developments in surface wave testing for seismic site characterization

12:30 – Gerardo De Canio
Early protection of strategic infrastructures and high vulnerable statues in Italy

13:00 – 14:00 Lunch

Afternoon Session Chair: Matthias Holschneider

14:00 – Niyazi Turkelli
Seismological studies in eastern Turkey and the Caucasus in relation with earthquake hazard assessmen

14:30 – Bolot Moldobekov
Seismicity and induced natural disasters in CAIAG’s studies

15:00 – Jafar Niyazov
Antiseismism in traditional architecture of Tajikistan

15:30 Coffee break

16:00 – Mavluda Tuychieva
Engineering-geological processes and phenomena in urban areas of seismically active regions of Uzbekistan and their role in assessing of seismic risk

16:00 – Andrey Korjenkov
Parameters of the Strong Paleoearthquakes Along the Talas-Fergana Fault, Kyrgyzstan

17:00 – Davran Otajanov
Modeling earthquake cycles in thrust zones in Central Asia

17:30 Round table discussion








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